{
  "date": "2026-11-05",
  "computed_at": "2026-11-06T14:15:35+03:00",
  "value": 105,
  "level": "Moderato",
  "line": "An ordinary week in AI, which is still fast.",
  "delta_7d": 1,
  "signals": [
    {
      "key": "papers",
      "label": "Papers",
      "count": 2499,
      "baseline_mean": 2107.83,
      "baseline_sd": 618.08,
      "z": 1.08,
      "weight": 0.15,
      "weight_used": 0.176,
      "contribution": 3.83,
      "source": "arXiv submissions in cs.AI, cs.LG, cs.CL per 7 days (arXiv API totalResults); the last bin can be under-counted while arXiv announces."
    },
    {
      "key": "models",
      "label": "Models",
      "count": 213,
      "baseline_mean": 176.17,
      "baseline_sd": 69.52,
      "z": -0.32,
      "weight": 0.2,
      "weight_used": 0.235,
      "contribution": -1.49,
      "source": "Average of two z-scores: papers featured on Hugging Face daily papers per 7 days, and notable models with a publication date in the window in Epoch AI's dataset (Epoch lags by weeks, so the latest bins run low). Upvotes are recorded but not scored: fresh papers have had less time to collect them."
    },
    {
      "key": "capability",
      "label": "Capability",
      "count": 0.0,
      "baseline_mean": 0.05,
      "baseline_sd": 0.17,
      "z": -0.27,
      "weight": 0.2,
      "weight_used": 0.235,
      "contribution": -1.27,
      "source": "log2 change per 7 days of the frontier METR 50% time horizon (Time Horizon 1.1 file); a new record is a step, an ordinary week is 0. Artificial Analysis' Intelligence Index joins in production (needs an API key)."
    },
    {
      "key": "money",
      "label": "Money",
      "count": 22,
      "baseline_mean": 27.35,
      "baseline_sd": 23.81,
      "z": -0.22,
      "weight": 0.15,
      "weight_used": 0.176,
      "contribution": -0.79,
      "source": "Funding rounds per 7 days from the AI Funding RSS feed (aifunding.me/feed); dollars recorded alongside, mega-rounds (>= $10B) become quakes."
    },
    {
      "key": "noise",
      "label": "Noise",
      "count": null,
      "baseline_mean": null,
      "baseline_sd": null,
      "z": null,
      "weight": 0.15,
      "weight_used": 0.0,
      "contribution": 0.0,
      "unavailable": true,
      "source": "GDELT DOC API (share of world press mentioning AI) is not reachable from this sandbox; production computes it server-side."
    },
    {
      "key": "builders",
      "label": "Builders",
      "count": 18638,
      "baseline_mean": 14965.75,
      "baseline_sd": 2846.15,
      "z": 1.29,
      "weight": 0.15,
      "weight_used": 0.176,
      "contribution": 4.55,
      "source": "Points on Hacker News stories matching 'AI' per 7 days (Algolia search_by_date, up to 1,000 stories per bin)."
    }
  ],
  "movers": [
    "builders",
    "papers",
    "models"
  ],
  "quakes": [
    {
      "date": "2026-10-01",
      "magnitude": 6,
      "kind": "mega-round",
      "record_number": null,
      "title": "OpenAI Raises $20.0B Undisclosed",
      "url": "https://aifunding.me/companies/openai"
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-10-22",
      "magnitude": 6,
      "kind": "mega-round",
      "record_number": null,
      "title": "DeepSeek Raises $15.0B Second funding round",
      "url": "https://aifunding.me/companies/deepseek"
    }
  ],
  "series_weekly": [
    {
      "date": "2026-08-13",
      "value": 110,
      "level": "Moderato"
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-08-20",
      "value": 105,
      "level": "Moderato"
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-08-27",
      "value": 102,
      "level": "Moderato"
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-09-03",
      "value": 111,
      "level": "Moderato"
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-09-10",
      "value": 103,
      "level": "Moderato"
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-09-17",
      "value": 100,
      "level": "Andante"
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-09-24",
      "value": 107,
      "level": "Moderato"
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-10-01",
      "value": 116,
      "level": "Moderato"
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-10-08",
      "value": 111,
      "level": "Moderato"
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-10-15",
      "value": 115,
      "level": "Moderato"
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-10-22",
      "value": 111,
      "level": "Moderato"
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-10-29",
      "value": 104,
      "level": "Moderato"
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-11-05",
      "value": 105,
      "level": "Moderato"
    }
  ],
  "method_url": "/archive/papers/bp-001",
  "dry_run": {
    "note": "Reference run on weekly bins ending 2026-11-05. Signals unavailable from this machine were dropped and the remaining weights rescaled; production runs daily on a rolling 7-day window with all six signals.",
    "signals_used": [
      "papers",
      "models",
      "capability",
      "money",
      "builders"
    ],
    "weights_used": {
      "papers": 0.17647058823529413,
      "models": 0.23529411764705885,
      "capability": 0.23529411764705885,
      "money": 0.17647058823529413,
      "builders": 0.17647058823529413
    },
    "baseline_weeks": 52,
    "z_clip": 3.0,
    "metr_doubling_days_post_2023": 128.744,
    "coverage_notes": {
      "money_coverage": "AI Funding feed coverage thins for older weeks (early median 1.0 rounds/week vs recent 25.5); the baseline is biased low and this z runs high."
    }
  }
}